August 9, 2022

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Tinubu VS Atiku: How They Will Battle it Out in Key States

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tinubu vs atiku

The All Progressives Congress (APC) and the Peoples’ Democratic Party (PDP), the two largest political parties, have turned their attention to strategizing to gain influence across the six geopolitical zones following the end of the presidential primary elections. Reporter ADAMU SULEIMAN provides a summary of the two parties’ struggle for dominance.

The All Progressives Congress (APC) and the Peoples’ Democratic Party (PDP) candidates are among the 13 presidential contenders who have emerged following difficult but history-making primaries that broke a new record. Asiwaju Bola Tinubu (Jagaban Borgu), a former national leader of the APC and former governor of Lagos State, and Atiku Abubakar (Wazirin Adamawa), a former vice president, have been chosen as the parties’ respective flag bearers.


Besides, coming out from the challenge of the first hurdle, Abubakar with 371 votes and his arc opponent, Asiwaju Tinubu scoring 1,271 votes or more than half of the votes of the total delegates, have both commenced the process of political graph plotting to gain grounds across the zones. Accordingly, the permutations have always dwelled more largely on the favourite, most populous and politically influential zones of the Northwest and Southwest.

Nevertheless, the candidates of other political platforms are equally pushing not to leave anything to chance for their share of the votes from electorates. Any presidential contender wishing to win must consider the Northwest while making their decision. The region wields some political influence brought on by the weight of its participants due to its population, the number of eligible voters, and the number of states.



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The APC presidential contender maintains a strong political presence in his native Southwest. This is especially true given that his party controls five out of the six states. These are the states of Lagos, Oyo, Ogun, Ondo, Ekiti, and Osun. The region has reliably cast its bloc votes for the center-right ruling party in recent elections. Politically, the Southwest has a history of overwhelmingly supporting its favorite leaders, who are thought to be effective organizers in any given political environment. This, according to observers, is crucial to the party’s chances of winning bloc votes in the area.

The political compass and driver of the zone’s course is Asiwaju Tinubu. He has undoubtedly performed this exact feat in the past. Tinubu is still viewed as a factor to rally around to win elections in the zone because of his attitude of resiliency. It is reported that his ability has always affected the outcome of polls in the region. One of his supporters observed, “This political legend has maintained the tempo of his politics of hope, prosperity, and excellent governance for a better Nigeria.”

Additionally, Asiwaju has earned the favor of the majority of the north and northern electorates thanks to his political acumen and will. The APC National Leader’s political influence has grown even more since the just finished APC presidential primary.

Given how the PDP and APC presidential primaries played out, it was clear that democratic principles were being upheld, especially in the APC camp. Although the group of APC northern governors persuaded the party to embrace shifting its ticket to the South against the consensus previously rooted by a portion of its players, it nonetheless helped to strengthen the party’s unity in style, smoothing the way for Tinubu’s emergence who, prior to the exercise, was braced by formidable forces from the region to clinch the party’s ticket.


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From the standpoint of party strength, players, and popularity, the former vice president will need to do lot to reposition his strength of acceptability and popularity in light of the formation of the New Nigerian Peoples’ Party (NNPP), which is led by the former governor of Kano State Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso. The party has been successful in reducing the number of PDP supporters and, consequently, Atiku’s capacity in the area.
Following Governor Aminu Tambuwal’s gesture of standing aside for him during the recently finished presidential party primary, some feel the PDP candidate may have limited support base given that the party only controls Sokoto State in the region.

The Sokoto governor reportedly does not have much power to influence party members within his sphere of influence for a number of obvious reasons. For allegedly refusing to nominate Mannir Dan Iya as his successor, they claim he has lost the trust and loyalty of some party members and supporters. This alleged action could spell disaster for the party and its presidential candidate in the state given Tambuwal’s campaign for the Sokoto South senatorial seat.

Although he has the support of fervent and strong party supporters in the area who are thought to be political movers and shakers that can help make a difference in Atiku’s presidential campaign.

They are Senator Suleiman Hunkuyi, Adamu Aliero, who just defected to the PDP, former Governors Ahmed Makarfi, Sule Lamido, Ibrahim Shema, Mukhtar Ramadan Yero, Attahiru Bafarawa, and Isah Ashiru Kudan, and former Vice President Namadi Sambo. They are thought to be able to work toward Atiku’s win. Atiku’s likelihood of winning enough votes in the area seems to have strengthened as a result of Aliero and his supporters switching to the PDP.

Atiku’s PDP and the ruling party in the center are poised to split the votes in the Northeast. The two major political parties, the PDP and the APC, split the six Northeastern states evenly.

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